All I can say - is it's more complex than it's being made out.
I wasn't looking to fight this out with anyone - especially you - just to inform.
I will agree to disagree on this survey - surveys in general as it's not working. I obviously don't have the skills to teach this at this point so I will stop.
My apologies - I've kept everyone tied up on this thread far too long.
oh goodness --- i did it again. and i really don't mean to.
chjones,
The "report" I posted was just a chunk of the Khan report. My stats were all the conclusions from all the published reports.... over 70,000 patients and a suicide ratio for antidepressants of 65 times the norm. These were the actual statistics that Dr. Khan received.
Glen's post was the actual Khan report about an analysis of the FDA clinical trial reports.
The figures are quite different.... which leads me to suspect that the drug companies paid Dr. Khan to ease up on his report. But, the media got ahold of ALL the stats and published them in various news articles. I go by the media's accounting of the statistics.
And what's really depressing is that these stats come from the PUBLISHED reports. If things go badly for a drug company at the beginning of a trial, they can just stop the trial and not publish any results.
There are lots and lots of "unpublished clinical trials".
glen - even then it is not totally valid because you can't be sure that your source 100 percent is necessarily representative of the whole population. for example you could get 50 people in a room and give them all peanuts and none of them died and then you cannot extrapolate that to say that 100 percent of people in the world are not allergic to peanuts..... just remember???Agreed - but I didn't bring this one out - reality did. The meds they tested were a lot of heavy-duty antidepressants and even an anti-convulsant. Many of these meds would never be given to someone coming in to an MD saying they don't feel happy. Many would be given to someone found jumping off a bridge or wandering around naked outside. Very heavy duty so you can assume many of these people had plans to do themselves in when not attended to.
Stats are confusing. I can recommend a couple primers if you'd like - I'll have to check way back in my closets but I might still have a couple.
stats aren't that fricking confusing unless people deliberate skew them to suit the agenda they went in with in the first place, which is what i can't stand.GLEN !!!!!
"Many of these meds would never be given to someone coming in to an MD saying they don't feel happy. "
DO YOU REALLY BELIEVE THAT !!!!!
IN MANY OF THE FIRST CLINICAL TRIALS THEY SPECIFICALLY EXCLUDED DEPRESSED PEOPLE AND STILL.... PEOPLE IN THE TRIALS WERE COMMITING SUICIDE !!
SSRI ANTIDEPRESSANTS HAVE BEEN PRESCRIBED FOR ... DEPRESSION, OCD, ODD, SAD, GAD, PMS, PMDD, WEIGHT LOSS AND EVEN TO QUIT SMOKING !!!
Statistics are confusing - but they are important. They get the street you are on repaired (hopefully), pay for hospitals and police stations being built, and tell us something about the medications, foods and spirits we imbibe. But if you give a stat to someone who doesn't understand - it can be read whichever way you chose to. The only way a stat becomes a really useful tool is to present it to someone who is both: trusted by you to be truthful, and at least competent in statistical analysis. You don't trust them - forget it. They are not statistically savvy - why bother?
Also - just as our meds aren't a cure - antidepressants are supposed to be used together with therapy. An antidepressant is supposed to bring the person a little stability in emotions - a way to feel a little more normal than before. Does it cure anything? None of them do! Even lithium - the greatest med for schizophrenic disorders, does no more than keep the person grounded. Take it away - and they go right back to being ill.
If someone takes a serious antidepressant for being self-destructive - then you go "off you go - come back in a month!" - guess what happens????
[QUOTE=reality]GLEN !!!!!
"Many of these meds would never be given to someone coming in to an MD saying they don't feel happy. "
DO YOU REALLY BELIEVE THAT !!!!!
IN MANY OF THE FIRST CLINICAL TRIALS THEY SPECIFICALLY EXCLUDED DEPRESSED PEOPLE AND STILL.... PEOPLE IN THE TRIALS WERE COMMITING SUICIDE !!
SSRI ANTIDEPRESSANTS HAVE BEEN PRESCRIBED FOR ... DEPRESSION, OCD, ODD, SAD, GAD, PMS, PMDD, WEIGHT LOSS AND EVEN TO QUIT SMOKING !!!
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Actually I just checked the full paper by Dr. Khan... They only excluded patients with a "demonstrated history of suicidal behavior". Most people who succeed at suicide show no prior history. The ones who "try" are typically reaching out for help or attention.
Only one SSRI is prescribed for stopping smoking. It's use is not typically included in studies and personally - I have seen no information on it exclusively so I'm not going to comment.
The "typical" antidepressants were only one subgroup of the studied medications. Most of the meds were the stronger ones - prescribed for severe depression that typically most MDs would NOT use until the typical ones (fluoxetine, et.al.) were exhausted as viable.
Also - what's your background in statistical analysis reality? I would assume you at least have a freshman course in basic statistical analysis under your belt - or does your church/anti-med group tell you what to say very slowly?
But if you give a stat to someone who doesn't understand - it can be read whichever way you chose to. The only way a stat becomes a really useful tool is to present it to someone who is both: trusted by you to be truthful, and at least competent in statistical analysis. You don't trust them - forget it. They are not statistically savvy - why bother?Glen,
"Most of the meds were the stronger ones - prescribed for severe depression that typically most MDs would NOT use until the typical ones (fluoxetine, et.al.) were exhausted as viable."
What are these "stronger" meds for "severe depression" ?
Are you talking about the antiPSYCHOTICS ? Are severely depressed people PSYCHOTIC ? (Did you notice that the antipsychotics had a higher rate of suicide than the SSRIs?)
Are you saying that if the people are still alive and 'severely depressed" after trying all the antidepressants, doctors give them antipsychotics and they kill themselves ?
Glen.... I can interpret statistics far faster and better than you... so can chjones. You spend far too much time trying to twist them into a "pro med" interpretation.
I don't belong to a church and no one tells me what to say.
i'm sorry glen that was a bit harsh --- i don't like it when i believe someone is being dishonest. it gets me and that subtle dishonesty by implication rather than outright just addressng the facts gets me worst.
I can understand why you are mad at the whole idea of stats. That's why nobody believes polls for politics, opinions, etc.
The thing you need to remember - they took stats from a very small group of people. whenever you do that (they looked at thousands and there are millions taking the meds), you have to take what you call a sampling variance. You see that in polls - where they say "accuracy plus or minus 2 or 3 percent".
The numbers between the placebo and actual med takers is close = close when you calculate them over the real population.
They have a formula for that - they take the whole group, multiply it by a number for actual pop divided by sample group. They take that number and put in error variance (confidence interval)- to remove data that could have been fouled up, or people that were removed from the group for not following double-blind protocol. Now, you put in patient exposure years - which will calculate out the odds of each patient each year committing suicide any given year if on placebo. Follow so far?
Taking ALL that into consideration - the numbers are within what the scientists would consider a normal variation between placebo and meds - numbers close enough that they can be discounted as random - i.e. they could just be for reasons other than medication-caused.
Remember - I'm on the side of each person decides. I don't shove meds down people's throats - but I think they belong on the long list of things we can do to help our ADHD.
What I don't like is this black-and-white idea that a med because a survey says there's an increased chance of harm in some cases, you should NEVER use it.
[QUOTE=GlenW]RESULTS: Of 48,277 depressed patients participating in the trials, 77 committed suicide. Based on patient exposure years, similar suicide rates were seen among those randomly assigned to an SSRI (0.59%, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.31%–0.87%), a standard comparison antidepressant (0.76%, 95% CI=0.49%–1.03%), or placebo (0.45%, 95% CI=0.01%–0.89%). CONCLUSIONS: These findings fail to support either an overall difference in suicide risk between antidepressant- and placebo-treated depressed subjects in controlled trials or a difference between SSRIs and either other types of antidepressants or placebo.
[/QUOTE][QUOTE=chjones]i'm sorry glen that was a bit harsh --- i don't like it when i believe someone is being dishonest. it gets me and that subtle dishonesty by implication rather than outright just addressng the facts gets me worst.
just forget it --- i didn't mean it to be a personal attack. i am not into those either. 
it really doesn't matter to me enough. to start being nasty ---- 
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LOL - I would hope you have seen enough of me that you know I'm thick skinned. I know where you come from - it's where I was not long ago.
I'm kind of on a journey in my life - I wanted SO bad to get better that I will do whatever it takes. Because I'm on therapy and meds - my mind is solid, my opinion of myself and things I hold as truths unshakable. You could call me anything you like - like a bullet on superman's ass.
If I can't explain this right - I chalk it up to me not being good enough at this to be able to explain. Not you being dumb. This is not high-school science - it's tough! I guarantee reality has no clue of what stats mean - or he'd have told me he does and tried to contradict me. Maybe he'll go get his big bro.
well don't let the beneficial effects that meds have had for you, screw your impartiality when looking at straightforward stats....
Dr. Khan reported an analysis of clinical trial data for drugs approved
by the Food and Drug Administration between 1985 and 2000. This included suicide and attempted suicide rates for more than 71,604 patients treated with the atypical antipsychotics risperidone, olanzapine, and quetiapine; all the selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors; nefazodone, mirtazapine, and bupropion; the benzodiazepine alprazolam; and the anticonvulsant valproate.
One striking finding was the elevated rate of completed suicides for
patients during these trials. Compared with the rate of 11/100,000
persons per year for the population at large, the rates of completed
suicide were 752/100,000 persons per year for those in antipsychotic
trials; 718 in antidepressant trials; 425 in trials of medication for
social anxiety disorder; 136 for panic disorder; and 105 for
obsessive-compulsive disorder.
GEE GLEN.... I WONDER WHO PAID DR. KHAN TO PUBLISH THE SAME FACTS AND CLAIM THERE WAS NO CORRELATION.
AND IF THERE'S NO DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SSRI AND PLACEBO RELATED SUICIDES.... THEN WHY ARE THERE BLACK BOX WARNINGS ON SSRIS ABOUT SUICIDE ???
Suicide rates were higher, in the trials taken as a whole, for patientsReality - you lie with Dr. Khan to back you up - I give you the REAL results and you ask who paid him? Cyclical reasoning - man you are messed up! Better go back to scientology HQ for a reprogramming you are getting sloppy.
These findings fail to support either an overall difference in suicide risk between antidepressant- and placebo-treated depressed subjects in controlled trials or a difference between SSRIs and either other types of antidepressants or placebo.
[QUOTE=chjones]Suicide rates were higher, in the trials taken as a whole, for patients
who were assigned to placebo than to the investigational drug
(1,750/100,000 persons per year vs. 710/100,000 persons per year).
In the case of trials for depression and anxiety disorders, suicide
rates were in fact higher among those who received the investigational
drug than placebo, Dr. Khan said.
i don't get this bit --- is that not contradictory? where is he getting his data from for the last paragraph and why does he not include those statistics rather than the ones which say the exact opposite?
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Reality is lying. The "report" he uses is from anti-med sites that stripped important correlative data from Dr. Khan's report - then called it their "proof". A lie. That's all it was.
When confronted by the truth- all I get is - "I wonder who paid him"? What is that?
well i think Dr Khan is a f**kwit, myself.[QUOTE=chjones] These findings fail to support either an overall difference in suicide risk between antidepressant- and placebo-treated depressed subjects in controlled trials or a difference between SSRIs and either other types of antidepressants or placebo.
well this is just bullsh*t -- how can you come up with first. they were worse off on the placebos. second. they were better off on the placebos. third. it was exactly the same on the placebos
i mean talk about covering all your bases. what a pile of crap! make up your mind you f**kwit.
he is obviously just saying whatever anyone who is paying him to do the research wants to hear. on both sides. what a waste of space. i have no time for people who have no regard for the truth!!!!
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Just keep in mind that reality's version of this report wasn't even IN the report. It was an anti-med "news" report on the test that they stripped and took only what they thought would support their way of looking at it. It has NO relation to the report. Dr. Khan is a very respected scientist - while reality is a troll.
That's why slinging numbers around in statistics is hard to understand unless you are a statistician. He isn't being dishonest - just using terminology that is hard to understand.
When the numbers are there - you see the numbers without the calculations that they do to weed out standard error (a calculation that factors out mistakes, patients quitting, data being incorrect), then what's left is so close according to the scientists that they cancel each other out. Basically - the percentages of with placebo and with med are so close that there is not a difference that points at medicine being the factor for the suicides. It most likely is that the patients would have committed suicide with or without meds.
But what reality put on his post was the raw data with comments that had nothing to do with the scientists.
Also - keep in mind that the meds used in this study are mostly heavy-duty meds you won't find most people taking outside of a very rigid doctor's plan - and many of the meds are specifically for people with very bad depressions. The kind that people commit suicide from.
He's just some wacko dude on a crusade who will post whatever he wants to prove his bias and one sided opinion.
All I know is this. Realty lied about having a child who died as a result of ADHD medication. I really can't place any truth in what this manipulative bastard has to say.
Care to share any more personal stories with us Reality? Perhaps you can dig up a dead daughter or two while you are at it....
chjones,
I strongly suspect that the suicide rates were higher among those who were assigned to placebos because of the way they conduct clinical trials.
During a clinical trial you are given either a placebo or the drug. Then after a period of testing, your "pill" is switched with the opposite of whatever you were taking.
This can lead to withdrawals if you were on the drug first and that's what gov'ts are now warning about on SSRIs. The most dangerous times on an SSRI are at the start and if you stop suddenly.
Dr. Khan collected data from all the PUBLISHED reports and then carefully worded it to ignore most of the suicides. But the actual statistics are rather damning.
yeah and the answer to that is the meds aren't helping people to stop to commit suicide are they - you might as well be on a placebo, ie take nothing or whistling danny boy, as pay a fortune for SSRIs that make sod-all difference, apparently.You mean depressed people are more pron to suicide. Wow, I'm just shocked! You mean there is a higher ratio of depressed people on antidepressants? Wow, I'm shocked again!!!
The world is more complex and dangerous than it has ever been before. No wonder more people are killing themselves. It is very hard in todays society. To blame it all on drugs is simplistic at best.
GlenW,
Looks like I'll have to lower my rate of suicide on A/Ds.
You are only 65 TIMES MORE LIKELY TO COMMIT SUICIDE ON AN A/D... not 68 times. Sorry about that.
Anyway, here's a chunk of the report....
Original study: